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Qual 322018 CalGames
Red219
3501143.4
846182.1
2813116.1
Blue342
670169.8
649156.1
1868137.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2843380100200400500600219342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#1
182.10.6
179.0→179.7
Auto24.4
Teleop133.3
End30.0
red by 12.3
670
#3
169.80.2
169.3→169.1
Auto22.6
Teleop127.6
End17.4
Second
3501
#35
143.42.3
147.8→145.4
Auto16.5
Teleop116.2
End7.7
blue by 12.8
649
#5
156.10.8
156.3→155.6
Auto20.1
Teleop130.1
End7.0
Third
2813
#15
116.10.5
116.9→116.4
Auto18.2
Teleop87.6
End10.7
blue by 21.0
1868
#7
137.20.7
136.2→135.5
Auto18.0
Teleop107.7
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed