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Red364
1967131.1
5104143.3
2473120.3
Blue195
668143.2
6174116.7
115153.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413400100200300400500600700800364195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5104
#20
143.30.1
142.2142.1
Auto17.4
Teleop112.3
End13.8
blue by 10.0
115
#4
153.30.7
152.8153.5
Auto19.8
Teleop117.0
End15.1
Second
131.11.1
127.1128.2
Auto16.4
Teleop97.5
End18.3
blue by 12.2
668
#13
143.20.7
147.4146.7
Auto23.6
Teleop105.6
End11.7
Third
2473
#19
120.31.0
121.2120.2
Auto15.7
Teleop92.9
End7.4
red by 3.6
6174
#22
116.70.6
119.3118.7
Auto16.6
Teleop93.0
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed