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Qual 342018 CalGames
Red398
6418159.0
114123.5
2854126.0
Blue143
682291.9
681496.7
751123.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3541590100200300400500600700398143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#17
159.01.7
162.2→160.5
Auto19.6
Teleop121.5
End15.4
red by 36.0
751
#16
123.10.3
124.4→124.1
Auto16.6
Teleop100.1
End7.0
Second
2854
#11
126.01.3
121.5→122.8
Auto17.3
Teleop100.0
End9.4
red by 29.3
6814
#24
96.71.0
98.3→97.3
Auto16.1
Teleop75.0
End5.8
Third
114
#9
123.50.4
119.3→119.7
Auto15.8
Teleop103.8
End5.7
red by 31.6
6822
#34
91.91.2
94.2→93.0
Auto14.8
Teleop73.3
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed