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Qual 402018 CalGames
Red90
3045103.4
751123.1
170087.4
Blue458
670169.8
4159143.4
199128.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160387010020030050060070090458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
751
#16
123.10.4
124.1→123.7
Auto16.6
Teleop100.1
End7.0
blue by 46.7
670
#3
169.80.1
169.1→169.2
Auto22.6
Teleop127.6
End17.4
Second
3045
#23
103.40.6
104.1→103.4
Auto17.5
Teleop79.9
End6.6
blue by 40.0
4159
#6
143.40.3
142.7→143.0
Auto20.0
Teleop111.4
End12.4
Third
1700
#36
87.40.2
87.6→87.4
Auto16.7
Teleop66.6
End5.4
blue by 41.3
199
#26
128.71.7
130.9→129.3
Auto20.1
Teleop98.0
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed