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Qual 412018 CalGames
Red320
25398.9
1967131.1
6418159.0
Blue208
2473120.3
2854126.0
3501143.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292291220260280300320320208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#17
159.01.1
160.5→159.4
Auto19.6
Teleop121.5
End15.4
red by 15.7
3501
#35
143.42.1
145.4→143.4
Auto16.5
Teleop116.2
End7.7
Second
1967
#2
131.11.7
128.2→129.9
Auto16.4
Teleop97.5
End18.3
red by 5.1
2854
#11
126.01.3
122.8→124.1
Auto17.3
Teleop100.0
End9.4
Third
253
#27
98.91.2
100.1→98.9
Auto14.2
Teleop76.2
End7.0
blue by 21.4
2473
#19
120.30.1
120.2→120.3
Auto15.7
Teleop92.9
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed1%Face the Boss oddsMissed