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Quarterfinal 3-32018 Sacramento Regional
Red431
1671147.8
3250145.4
2367114.6
Blue129
4135142.4
383144.5
295139.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2793520100200400500600700431129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#13
147.80.9
143.8→144.7
Auto18.2
Teleop110.3
End22.1
red by 3.3
383
#8
144.50.3
144.2→144.5
Auto18.4
Teleop111.2
End12.9
Second
3250
#3
145.40.7
142.3→143.0
Auto20.6
Teleop106.2
End21.6
red by 3.0
4135
#9
142.40.9
143.2→142.4
Auto20.9
Teleop105.2
End15.2
Third
2367
#44
114.60.4
115.2→114.8
Auto15.0
Teleop88.6
End11.5
blue by 24.9
295
#11
139.50.8
138.7→139.5
Auto18.1
Teleop108.6
End12.0