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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Sacramento Regional
Red413
6474166.0
1072146.7
3880139.2
Blue276
5817143.9
5507154.3
3256147.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363317100200400500600413276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6474
#18
166.00.7
161.5→162.2
Auto19.1
Teleop126.0
End21.1
red by 11.7
5507
#7
154.30.1
154.5→154.4
Auto18.4
Teleop117.0
End18.1
Second
1072
#4
146.71.4
138.9→140.3
Auto20.0
Teleop111.9
End14.5
blue by 0.3
3256
#16
147.00.2
146.3→146.5
Auto19.6
Teleop114.2
End13.3
Third
3880
#59
139.20.4
137.1→137.4
Auto15.4
Teleop104.7
End19.4
blue by 4.7
5817
#12
143.91.0
141.1→142.1
Auto17.7
Teleop106.3
End23.2