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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Sacramento Regional
Red308
6474166.0
1072146.7
3880139.2
Blue400
5817143.9
5507154.3
3256147.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370312100200400500600308400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6474
#18
166.00.7
162.2→163.0
Auto19.1
Teleop126.0
End21.1
red by 11.7
5507
#7
154.30.1
154.4→154.3
Auto18.4
Teleop117.0
End18.1
Second
1072
#4
146.71.4
140.3→141.7
Auto20.0
Teleop111.9
End14.5
blue by 0.3
3256
#16
147.00.2
146.5→146.7
Auto19.6
Teleop114.2
End13.3
Third
3880
#59
139.20.4
137.4→137.8
Auto15.4
Teleop104.7
End19.4
blue by 4.7
5817
#12
143.90.8
142.1→142.9
Auto17.7
Teleop106.3
End23.2