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Qual 12018 Sacramento Regional
Red310
2551135.8
295139.5
3303111.7
Blue168
199139.4
5274122.6
3669118.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309285150200250350400450310168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
295
#11
139.514.4
88.9→103.3
Auto18.1
Teleop108.6
End12.0
red by 0.1
199
#35
139.40.7
136.9→137.5
Auto20.7
Teleop104.3
End13.1
Second
2551
#42
135.80.1
138.5→138.4
Auto19.8
Teleop103.5
End14.7
red by 13.2
5274
#39
122.616.3
72.1→88.4
Auto17.7
Teleop88.4
End19.4
Third
3303
#65
111.715.5
78.8→94.3
Auto13.6
Teleop87.8
End8.4
blue by 6.3
3669
#46
118.116.2
72.9→89.1
Auto18.5
Teleop87.9
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed