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Qual 22018 Sacramento Regional
Red244
7229105.4
4643130.0
3615116.3
Blue226
6039116.8
100127.5
981125.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413060100200400500600244226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4643
#32
130.016.5
70.0→86.5
Auto16.7
Teleop95.6
End15.3
red by 2.5
100
#60
127.50.7
132.4→131.7
Auto15.4
Teleop95.5
End15.2
Second
3615
#43
116.318.6
51.6→70.2
Auto15.1
Teleop89.6
End15.8
blue by 8.9
981
#40
125.216.1
73.6→89.7
Auto15.5
Teleop96.4
End18.4
Third
7229
#28
105.427.6
105.4→77.7
Auto14.7
Teleop83.5
End6.3
blue by 11.4
6039
#51
116.815.8
76.0→91.8
Auto15.5
Teleop87.0
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed