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Qual 32018 Sacramento Regional
Red242
4171112.7
3482130.1
701152.9
Blue304
1072146.7
6918118.6
4135142.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3242610100200400500600242304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#30
152.91.4
153.2→154.6
Auto27.5
Teleop115.5
End7.7
red by 6.1
1072
#4
146.715.7
77.2→92.9
Auto20.0
Teleop111.9
End14.5
Second
3482
#27
130.115.3
80.7→96.0
Auto16.8
Teleop103.7
End9.6
blue by 12.3
4135
#9
142.414.9
84.3→99.2
Auto20.9
Teleop105.2
End15.2
Third
4171
#45
112.716.3
71.7→88.1
Auto15.0
Teleop87.1
End13.5
blue by 5.9
6918
#38
118.640.8
118.6→77.7
Auto16.0
Teleop94.3
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed