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Qual 42018 Sacramento Regional
Red233
7308100.8
5817143.9
6619111.7
Blue243
5728113.0
3256147.0
1458120.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2682960100200400500233243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#12
143.915.7
77.6→93.2
Auto17.7
Teleop106.3
End23.2
blue by 3.1
3256
#16
147.01.0
140.4→141.4
Auto19.6
Teleop114.2
End13.3
Second
6619
#33
111.717.3
63.0→80.3
Auto13.4
Teleop89.0
End10.5
blue by 8.8
1458
#10
120.51.8
122.9→121.0
Auto16.2
Teleop90.5
End12.2
Third
7308
#64
100.832.1
109.9→77.7
Auto11.8
Teleop78.4
End12.1
blue by 12.2
5728
#15
113.017.0
65.9→82.9
Auto15.2
Teleop87.1
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed