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Qual 112018 Sacramento Regional
Red311
3970142.8
3250145.4
5274122.6
Blue257
3880139.2
1351121.5
6474166.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2503510100200300400500600311257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#3
145.42.4
135.8→133.4
Auto20.6
Teleop106.2
End21.6
blue by 20.7
6474
#18
166.01.8
148.4→150.2
Auto19.1
Teleop126.0
End21.1
Second
3970
#34
142.814.3
90.3→104.6
Auto16.8
Teleop109.6
End12.5
red by 3.6
3880
#59
139.21.1
131.1→132.2
Auto15.4
Teleop104.7
End19.4
Third
5274
#39
122.69.0
88.4→97.3
Auto17.7
Teleop88.4
End19.4
red by 1.1
1351
#37
121.515.2
81.8→97.0
Auto13.7
Teleop97.6
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed