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Qual 102018 Sacramento Regional
Red426
2204123.5
5940142.4
1323185.2
Blue271
5250102.1
383144.5
2144155.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3162670100200400500426271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
#2
185.213.5
97.2→110.7
Auto26.2
Teleop128.3
End30.9
red by 29.9
2144
#25
155.314.0
92.6→106.7
Auto19.4
Teleop111.8
End25.3
Second
5940
#5
142.41.3
135.1→136.4
Auto18.8
Teleop108.9
End12.7
blue by 2.1
383
#8
144.515.3
80.7→96.1
Auto18.4
Teleop111.2
End12.9
Third
2204
#14
123.516.6
69.1→85.7
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End13.6
red by 21.4
5250
#57
102.117.8
58.4→76.2
Auto13.7
Teleop82.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed