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Qual 92018 Sacramento Regional
Red76
5458114.6
3189104.6
2085122.7
Blue442
2035125.5
1678236.3
1280136.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions240404010020030050060076442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2085
#55
122.714.8
85.0→99.8
Auto14.6
Teleop97.4
End9.5
blue by 113.6
1678
#1
236.33.2
206.4→209.6
Auto31.0
Teleop158.2
End49.2
Second
5458
#52
114.614.3
89.8→104.1
Auto14.9
Teleop88.5
End13.2
blue by 22.1
1280
#26
136.71.0
127.5→128.5
Auto18.6
Teleop100.6
End15.4
Third
3189
#63
104.616.5
69.8→86.4
Auto13.0
Teleop83.1
End8.6
blue by 20.9
2035
#17
125.514.9
84.4→99.3
Auto16.8
Teleop96.2
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed27%Face the Boss oddsEarned