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Red223
1671147.8
4171112.7
1662132.8
Blue229
682297.3
295139.5
981125.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297253100200400500223229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#13
147.86.5
115.8122.3
Auto18.2
Teleop110.3
End22.1
red by 8.3
295
#11
139.510.2
103.3113.5
Auto18.1
Teleop108.6
End12.0
Second
1662
#48
132.812.6
98.4111.0
Auto15.0
Teleop97.6
End20.7
red by 7.6
981
#40
125.29.3
89.799.0
Auto15.5
Teleop96.4
End18.4
Third
4171
#45
112.78.6
88.196.7
Auto15.0
Teleop87.1
End13.5
red by 15.4
6822
#58
97.310.8
77.788.6
Auto12.6
Teleop78.1
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed