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Qual 142018 Sacramento Regional
Red200
5480123.6
6918118.6
6039116.8
Blue290
6174119.8
2141124.2
1458120.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272267200250300350200290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5480
#24
123.68.9
88.5→97.4
Auto15.5
Teleop89.2
End20.1
blue by 0.6
2141
#23
124.211.8
92.8→104.6
Auto16.6
Teleop99.1
End6.3
Second
6918
#38
118.613.2
77.7→91.0
Auto16.0
Teleop94.3
End5.9
blue by 2.0
1458
#10
120.51.4
121.0→119.7
Auto16.2
Teleop90.5
End12.2
Third
6039
#51
116.89.1
91.8→101.0
Auto15.5
Teleop87.0
End9.3
blue by 3.0
6174
#22
119.810.7
79.3→90.0
Auto15.9
Teleop95.4
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed