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Red361
1072146.7
2144155.3
6238108.6
Blue284
692103.8
3970142.8
2551135.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27731302004006008001,000361284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2144
#25
155.310.8
106.7117.5
Auto19.4
Teleop111.8
End25.3
red by 12.5
3970
#34
142.811.4
104.6116.0
Auto16.8
Teleop109.6
End12.5
Second
146.712.0
92.9104.9
Auto20.0
Teleop111.9
End14.5
red by 10.9
2551
#42
135.80.2
138.4138.6
Auto19.8
Teleop103.5
End14.7
Third
6238
#53
108.69.9
77.787.6
Auto15.4
Teleop84.2
End9.0
red by 4.8
692
#36
103.811.5
81.893.3
Auto15.4
Teleop79.8
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed