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Qual 182018 Sacramento Regional
Red189
5250102.1
100127.5
3859133.2
Blue380
2085122.7
3250145.4
3256147.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2713130100200400500600700189380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3859
#19
133.28.3
93.8→102.1
Auto17.6
Teleop101.2
End16.5
blue by 13.9
3256
#16
147.00.5
141.4→141.9
Auto19.6
Teleop114.2
End13.3
Second
100
#60
127.51.2
131.7→130.5
Auto15.4
Teleop95.5
End15.2
blue by 17.9
3250
#3
145.40.5
133.4→132.9
Auto20.6
Teleop106.2
End21.6
Third
5250
#57
102.113.3
76.2→89.5
Auto13.7
Teleop82.3
End4.4
blue by 20.6
2085
#55
122.77.2
99.8→107.1
Auto14.6
Teleop97.4
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed