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Qual 192018 Sacramento Regional
Red269
2204123.5
7229105.4
6305111.2
Blue151
6619111.7
3189104.6
3303111.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286267150200250350400450269151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2204
#14
123.514.1
85.7→99.8
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End13.6
red by 11.8
3303
#65
111.710.9
94.3→105.2
Auto13.6
Teleop87.8
End8.4
Second
6305
#61
111.29.1
98.9→108.0
Auto14.7
Teleop84.1
End8.5
blue by 0.5
6619
#33
111.712.5
80.3→92.8
Auto13.4
Teleop89.0
End10.5
Third
7229
#28
105.412.5
77.7→90.3
Auto14.7
Teleop83.5
End6.3
red by 0.8
3189
#63
104.68.4
86.4→94.8
Auto13.0
Teleop83.1
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed