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Qual 202018 Sacramento Regional
Red279
6644110.7
1280136.7
6474166.0
Blue384
1323185.2
701152.9
3501148.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277346150200250300400450500279384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6474
#18
166.01.0
150.2→151.2
Auto19.1
Teleop126.0
End21.1
blue by 19.1
1323
#2
185.212.2
110.7→122.9
Auto26.2
Teleop128.3
End30.9
Second
1280
#26
136.72.0
128.5→130.6
Auto18.6
Teleop100.6
End15.4
blue by 16.1
701
#30
152.90.1
154.6→154.7
Auto27.5
Teleop115.5
End7.7
Third
6644
#41
110.711.2
74.1→85.3
Auto12.9
Teleop86.2
End12.8
blue by 37.9
3501
#20
148.60.5
142.5→143.1
Auto15.9
Teleop118.2
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed