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Qual 252018 Sacramento Regional
Red303
701152.9
5728113.0
3013106.6
Blue287
6039116.8
5274122.6
2144155.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288304150200250350400450303287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#30
152.90.7
154.7→155.5
Auto27.5
Teleop115.5
End7.7
blue by 2.4
2144
#25
155.38.7
117.5→126.2
Auto19.4
Teleop111.8
End25.3
Second
5728
#15
113.05.6
93.9→99.5
Auto15.2
Teleop87.1
End14.3
blue by 9.6
5274
#39
122.67.9
97.3→105.2
Auto17.7
Teleop88.4
End19.4
Third
3013
#47
106.69.8
82.8→92.6
Auto16.1
Teleop83.8
End1.8
blue by 10.2
6039
#51
116.85.0
101.0→105.9
Auto15.5
Teleop87.0
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed