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Qual 262018 Sacramento Regional
Red262
6059104.7
981125.2
3970142.8
Blue360
6619111.7
5940142.4
3501148.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2553160100200400500600262360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#34
142.87.7
116.0→123.6
Auto16.8
Teleop109.6
End12.5
blue by 5.8
3501
#20
148.61.3
143.1→144.4
Auto15.9
Teleop118.2
End14.5
Second
981
#40
125.25.8
99.0→104.8
Auto15.5
Teleop96.4
End18.4
blue by 17.2
5940
#5
142.40.6
138.9→139.5
Auto18.8
Teleop108.9
End12.7
Third
6059
#54
104.79.8
91.9→101.7
Auto12.6
Teleop83.9
End6.7
blue by 7.0
6619
#33
111.76.4
92.8→99.2
Auto13.4
Teleop89.0
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed