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Qual 312018 Sacramento Regional
Red261
3257112.2
100127.5
3189104.6
Blue262
1671147.8
5507154.3
6644110.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237325100200300400500261262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#60
127.51.6
130.5→128.9
Auto15.4
Teleop95.5
End15.2
blue by 26.8
5507
#7
154.31.4
144.5→145.9
Auto18.4
Teleop117.0
End18.1
Second
3257
#62
112.27.2
97.1→104.3
Auto16.2
Teleop88.0
End4.7
blue by 35.6
1671
#13
147.83.7
122.3→126.0
Auto18.2
Teleop110.3
End22.1
Third
3189
#63
104.63.7
94.8→98.5
Auto13.0
Teleop83.1
End8.6
blue by 6.1
6644
#41
110.77.9
85.3→93.2
Auto12.9
Teleop86.2
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed