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Qual 322018 Sacramento Regional
Red288
3669118.1
1351121.5
3615116.3
Blue459
3859133.2
1323185.2
2367114.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions238319100200400500288459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1351
#37
121.56.0
106.7→112.7
Auto13.7
Teleop97.6
End8.3
blue by 63.7
1323
#2
185.29.9
122.9→132.8
Auto26.2
Teleop128.3
End30.9
Second
3669
#46
118.14.1
98.0→102.1
Auto18.5
Teleop87.9
End8.4
blue by 15.1
3859
#19
133.23.5
102.1→105.6
Auto17.6
Teleop101.2
End16.5
Third
3615
#43
116.310.0
83.4→93.4
Auto15.1
Teleop89.6
End15.8
red by 1.7
2367
#44
114.69.4
99.0→108.4
Auto15.0
Teleop88.6
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed