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Qual 332018 Sacramento Regional
Red350
4698128.7
5250102.1
6174119.8
Blue190
7308100.8
3598128.1
1280136.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251303100200400500350190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#31
128.79.3
95.7→104.9
Auto13.7
Teleop97.8
End17.8
blue by 8.0
1280
#26
136.72.0
132.2→134.2
Auto18.6
Teleop100.6
End15.4
Second
6174
#22
119.88.6
90.0→98.6
Auto15.9
Teleop95.4
End6.8
blue by 8.3
3598
#21
128.13.9
112.6→116.6
Auto16.8
Teleop100.5
End5.9
Third
5250
#57
102.11.5
96.4→97.9
Auto13.7
Teleop82.3
End4.4
red by 1.2
7308
#64
100.86.5
90.4→96.9
Auto11.8
Teleop78.4
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed