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Qual 342018 Sacramento Regional
Red210
3256147.0
2551135.8
701152.9
Blue385
2204123.5
1678236.3
981125.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306366100200400500600210385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#30
152.90.6
155.5→156.1
Auto27.5
Teleop115.5
End7.7
blue by 83.4
1678
#1
236.33.2
216.2→219.4
Auto31.0
Teleop158.2
End49.2
Second
3256
#16
147.02.4
143.5→145.9
Auto19.6
Teleop114.2
End13.3
red by 21.8
981
#40
125.24.8
104.8→109.6
Auto15.5
Teleop96.4
End18.4
Third
2551
#42
135.80.5
138.8→138.4
Auto19.8
Teleop103.5
End14.7
red by 12.3
2204
#14
123.53.5
106.2→109.7
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed44%Face the Boss oddsEarned