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Qual 422018 Sacramento Regional
Red173
5274122.6
6238108.6
7308100.8
Blue370
5940142.4
1671147.8
4643130.0
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2173560100300400500600173370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5274
#39
122.66.5
105.2→111.7
Auto17.7
Teleop88.4
End19.4
blue by 25.2
1671
#13
147.82.7
126.0→128.7
Auto18.2
Teleop110.3
End22.1
Second
6238
#53
108.64.6
95.7→100.3
Auto15.4
Teleop84.2
End9.0
blue by 33.8
5940
#5
142.41.0
139.5→140.5
Auto18.8
Teleop108.9
End12.7
Third
7308
#64
100.83.1
96.9→100.0
Auto11.8
Teleop78.4
End12.1
blue by 29.2
4643
#32
130.06.3
107.3→113.7
Auto16.7
Teleop95.6
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed