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Red276
7057102.2
2367114.6
5817143.9
Blue255
6918118.6
3303111.7
100127.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294266100200400500276255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#12
143.97.6
113.4121.0
Auto17.7
Teleop106.3
End23.2
red by 16.4
100
#60
127.51.0
128.9127.8
Auto15.4
Teleop95.5
End15.2
Second
2367
#44
114.610.2
108.4118.6
Auto15.0
Teleop88.6
End11.5
blue by 4.0
6918
#38
118.66.6
98.7105.3
Auto16.0
Teleop94.3
End5.9
Third
7057
#49
102.22.4
93.796.1
Auto13.7
Teleop83.4
End5.3
blue by 9.5
3303
#65
111.73.9
110.6114.5
Auto13.6
Teleop87.8
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed