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Red342
6474166.0
5458114.6
7229105.4
Blue215
6059104.7
2551135.8
5480123.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294289200250350400342215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6474
#18
166.01.6
153.7155.3
Auto19.1
Teleop126.0
End21.1
red by 30.2
2551
#42
135.81.4
138.4136.9
Auto19.8
Teleop103.5
End14.7
Second
5458
#52
114.61.0
115.1114.0
Auto14.9
Teleop88.5
End13.2
blue by 8.9
5480
#24
123.65.1
107.9113.0
Auto15.5
Teleop89.2
End20.1
Third
7229
#28
105.42.1
97.799.8
Auto14.7
Teleop83.5
End6.3
red by 0.7
6059
#54
104.77.5
101.7109.2
Auto12.6
Teleop83.9
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned11%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed