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Qual 472018 Sacramento Regional
Red220
4643130.0
6612107.8
6619111.7
Blue263
295139.5
701152.9
692103.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2633080100200400500220263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4643
#32
130.06.0
113.7→119.7
Auto16.7
Teleop95.6
End15.3
blue by 22.8
701
#30
152.90.5
156.1→155.6
Auto27.5
Teleop115.5
End7.7
Second
6619
#33
111.74.5
104.9→109.4
Auto13.4
Teleop89.0
End10.5
blue by 27.8
295
#11
139.54.3
122.4→126.7
Auto18.1
Teleop108.6
End12.0
Third
6612
#29
107.85.4
97.8→103.2
Auto18.4
Teleop83.4
End5.0
red by 4.0
692
#36
103.82.0
103.0→105.0
Auto15.4
Teleop79.8
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed