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Qual 482018 Sacramento Regional
Red176
3501148.6
6039116.8
682297.3
Blue469
3880139.2
3598128.1
4135142.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2893110100200400500600700176469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3501
#20
148.61.8
145.9→147.7
Auto15.9
Teleop118.2
End14.5
red by 6.2
4135
#9
142.47.8
127.4→135.1
Auto20.9
Teleop105.2
End15.2
Second
6039
#51
116.85.3
110.4→115.7
Auto15.5
Teleop87.0
End9.3
blue by 22.5
3880
#59
139.20.2
132.2→132.0
Auto15.4
Teleop104.7
End19.4
Third
6822
#58
97.31.3
96.7→98.0
Auto12.6
Teleop78.1
End5.9
blue by 30.8
3598
#21
128.11.5
116.6→118.0
Auto16.8
Teleop100.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed