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Red307
2144155.3
7308100.8
2073135.5
Blue378
100127.5
199139.4
1662132.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions300323100200400500307378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2144
#25
155.35.3
133.2138.5
Auto19.4
Teleop111.8
End25.3
red by 15.9
199
#35
139.40.0
137.4137.4
Auto20.7
Teleop104.3
End13.1
Second
2073
#56
135.50.4
137.4137.0
Auto17.0
Teleop111.1
End6.2
red by 2.7
1662
#48
132.86.7
118.7125.4
Auto15.0
Teleop97.6
End20.7
Third
7308
#64
100.81.8
100.0101.9
Auto11.8
Teleop78.4
End12.1
blue by 26.7
100
#60
127.51.0
127.8126.8
Auto15.4
Teleop95.5
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed