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Qual 532018 Sacramento Regional
Red150
2141124.2
2085122.7
5496142.3
Blue470
1671147.8
1323185.2
5817143.9
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281357100200400500600150470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5496
#6
142.39.6
122.5→132.0
Auto15.3
Teleop108.3
End17.7
blue by 42.9
1323
#2
185.29.5
143.4→152.8
Auto26.2
Teleop128.3
End30.9
Second
2141
#23
124.23.9
118.6→122.4
Auto16.6
Teleop99.1
End6.3
blue by 23.6
1671
#13
147.83.7
128.7→132.4
Auto18.2
Teleop110.3
End22.1
Third
2085
#55
122.73.4
118.0→121.4
Auto14.6
Teleop97.4
End9.5
blue by 21.2
5817
#12
143.94.9
121.0→126.0
Auto17.7
Teleop106.3
End23.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned