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Qual 542018 Sacramento Regional
Red238
7057102.2
3615116.3
852131.8
Blue378
383144.5
1458120.5
5274122.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2683110100200400500238378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
852
#50
131.85.5
126.4→131.9
Auto14.2
Teleop99.3
End13.6
blue by 12.7
383
#8
144.57.9
117.0→124.9
Auto18.4
Teleop111.2
End12.9
Second
3615
#43
116.34.5
101.1→105.6
Auto15.1
Teleop89.6
End15.8
blue by 6.3
5274
#39
122.63.9
111.7→115.6
Auto17.7
Teleop88.4
End19.4
Third
7057
#49
102.21.6
96.1→97.7
Auto13.7
Teleop83.4
End5.3
blue by 18.3
1458
#10
120.50.7
119.0→119.7
Auto16.2
Teleop90.5
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed