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Qual 552018 Sacramento Regional
Red139
1351121.5
5250102.1
4135142.4
Blue55
3303111.7
3013106.6
6059104.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33624110020030040050013955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4135
#9
142.48.6
135.1→143.7
Auto20.9
Teleop105.2
End15.2
red by 30.6
3303
#65
111.71.0
116.6→117.6
Auto13.6
Teleop87.8
End8.4
Second
1351
#37
121.54.6
117.6→122.3
Auto13.7
Teleop97.6
End8.3
red by 14.9
3013
#47
106.63.3
105.0→108.4
Auto16.1
Teleop83.8
End1.8
Third
5250
#57
102.11.7
101.5→103.2
Auto13.7
Teleop82.3
End4.4
blue by 2.6
6059
#54
104.74.7
109.2→113.8
Auto12.6
Teleop83.9
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed