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Qual 562018 Sacramento Regional
Red406
5940142.4
5480123.6
3598128.1
Blue51
692103.8
3256147.0
3257112.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310296010020040050060070080040651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5940
#5
142.40.6
142.0→141.4
Auto18.8
Teleop108.9
End12.7
blue by 4.6
3256
#16
147.00.8
146.5→147.3
Auto19.6
Teleop114.2
End13.3
Second
3598
#21
128.14.2
118.0→122.2
Auto16.8
Teleop100.5
End5.9
red by 15.9
3257
#62
112.24.0
114.5→118.5
Auto16.2
Teleop88.0
End4.7
Third
5480
#24
123.63.2
113.0→116.1
Auto15.5
Teleop89.2
End20.1
red by 19.7
692
#36
103.81.7
105.0→106.7
Auto15.4
Teleop79.8
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed