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Qual 62018 Sacramento Regional
Red297
3501148.6
1671147.8
3859133.2
Blue133
5480123.6
2073135.5
4698128.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330264100200300400500297133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3501
#20
148.62.6
139.9→142.5
Auto15.9
Teleop118.2
End14.5
red by 13.1
2073
#56
135.51.0
138.8→139.9
Auto17.0
Teleop111.1
End6.2
Second
1671
#13
147.812.9
102.8→115.8
Auto18.2
Teleop110.3
End22.1
red by 19.0
4698
#31
128.716.5
70.1→86.6
Auto13.7
Teleop97.8
End17.8
Third
3859
#19
133.215.6
78.2→93.8
Auto17.6
Teleop101.2
End16.5
red by 9.6
5480
#24
123.616.3
72.3→88.5
Auto15.5
Teleop89.2
End20.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed