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Qual 72018 Sacramento Regional
Red452
852131.8
1662132.8
5507154.3
Blue244
3598128.1
3013106.6
692103.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3302410100200300400500452244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5507
#7
154.30.0
143.3→143.3
Auto18.4
Teleop117.0
End18.1
red by 26.2
3598
#21
128.115.2
81.4→96.6
Auto16.8
Teleop100.5
End5.9
Second
1662
#48
132.815.0
83.4→98.4
Auto15.0
Teleop97.6
End20.7
red by 26.2
3013
#47
106.618.6
51.7→70.3
Auto16.1
Teleop83.8
End1.8
Third
852
#50
131.815.4
80.2→95.6
Auto14.2
Teleop99.3
End13.6
red by 28.0
692
#36
103.817.1
64.7→81.8
Auto15.4
Teleop79.8
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed