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Qual 632018 Sacramento Regional
Red396
1280136.7
5496142.3
100127.5
Blue212
1351121.5
6612107.8
1458120.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329251100200300400500396212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5496
#6
142.33.4
132.0→135.4
Auto15.3
Teleop108.3
End17.7
red by 20.8
1351
#37
121.50.1
122.3→122.2
Auto13.7
Teleop97.6
End8.3
Second
1280
#26
136.70.5
135.1→135.6
Auto18.6
Teleop100.6
End15.4
red by 16.2
1458
#10
120.51.1
119.7→120.8
Auto16.2
Teleop90.5
End12.2
Third
100
#60
127.50.1
126.8→126.7
Auto15.4
Teleop95.5
End15.2
red by 19.7
6612
#29
107.82.9
103.2→106.1
Auto18.4
Teleop83.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed