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Red491
981125.2
2144155.3
2085122.7
Blue131
852131.8
7308100.8
2367114.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321297100200400500600491131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2144
#25
155.34.1
138.5142.6
Auto19.4
Teleop111.8
End25.3
red by 23.5
852
#50
131.84.1
131.9136.0
Auto14.2
Teleop99.3
End13.6
Second
981
#40
125.22.6
114.0116.6
Auto15.5
Teleop96.4
End18.4
red by 10.6
2367
#44
114.60.4
125.3124.9
Auto15.0
Teleop88.6
End11.5
Third
2085
#55
122.70.7
121.4120.7
Auto14.6
Teleop97.4
End9.5
red by 21.8
7308
#64
100.81.8
101.9103.6
Auto11.8
Teleop78.4
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed