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Qual 652018 Sacramento Regional
Red273
383144.5
6619111.7
6039116.8
Blue281
6644110.7
4171112.7
2551135.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344239100200300400500600273281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
383
#8
144.57.7
131.9→139.6
Auto18.4
Teleop111.2
End12.9
red by 8.7
2551
#42
135.81.3
136.9→135.7
Auto19.8
Teleop103.5
End14.7
Second
6039
#51
116.81.5
115.7→117.2
Auto15.5
Teleop87.0
End9.3
red by 4.1
4171
#45
112.70.5
105.2→105.7
Auto15.0
Teleop87.1
End13.5
Third
6619
#33
111.72.4
109.4→111.8
Auto13.4
Teleop89.0
End10.5
red by 1.0
6644
#41
110.73.1
101.9→105.0
Auto12.9
Teleop86.2
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed9%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed