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Qual 662018 Sacramento Regional
Red107
5274122.6
2035125.5
6059104.7
Blue365
1662132.8
2204123.5
5480123.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2703100100200400500600107365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2035
#17
125.52.3
123.6→126.0
Auto16.8
Teleop96.2
End10.9
blue by 7.3
1662
#48
132.82.6
134.9→132.4
Auto15.0
Teleop97.6
End20.7
Second
5274
#39
122.62.7
119.9→122.7
Auto17.7
Teleop88.4
End19.4
blue by 1.0
5480
#24
123.63.4
116.1→119.6
Auto15.5
Teleop89.2
End20.1
Third
6059
#54
104.74.6
113.8→109.2
Auto12.6
Teleop83.9
End6.7
blue by 18.8
2204
#14
123.52.8
117.1→119.9
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed