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Red460
1678236.3
692103.8
1671147.8
Blue88
3669118.1
4135142.4
7057102.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404241010020030050060046088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236.33.2
225.4228.5
Auto31.0
Teleop158.2
End49.2
red by 93.9
142.42.5
143.7146.2
Auto20.9
Teleop105.2
End15.2
Second
1671
#13
147.81.6
137.7139.3
Auto18.2
Teleop110.3
End22.1
red by 29.7
3669
#46
118.15.3
111.8117.1
Auto18.5
Teleop87.9
End8.4
Third
692
#36
103.82.9
106.7103.8
Auto15.4
Teleop79.8
End8.2
red by 1.6
7057
#49
102.23.3
99.3102.5
Auto13.7
Teleop83.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
54%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed