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Qual 692018 Sacramento Regional
Red292
3970142.8
199139.4
6612107.8
Blue265
3189104.6
981125.2
5250102.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3352190100300400500292265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#34
142.83.3
138.6→141.9
Auto16.8
Teleop109.6
End12.5
red by 17.6
981
#40
125.24.4
116.6→121.0
Auto15.5
Teleop96.4
End18.4
Second
199
#35
139.40.7
138.0→138.7
Auto20.7
Teleop104.3
End13.1
red by 34.7
3189
#63
104.61.0
104.9→103.9
Auto13.0
Teleop83.1
End8.6
Third
6612
#29
107.80.5
106.1→106.6
Auto18.4
Teleop83.4
End5.0
red by 5.8
5250
#57
102.12.0
103.2→101.3
Auto13.7
Teleop82.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed