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Qual 702018 Sacramento Regional
Red200
1458120.5
3303111.7
852131.8
Blue429
4171112.7
6474166.0
5940142.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2573450100200300400500200429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
852
#50
131.81.4
136.0→134.7
Auto14.2
Teleop99.3
End13.6
blue by 34.2
6474
#18
166.02.0
156.8→158.8
Auto19.1
Teleop126.0
End21.1
Second
1458
#10
120.50.4
120.8→121.2
Auto16.2
Teleop90.5
End12.2
blue by 21.8
5940
#5
142.40.0
141.4→141.4
Auto18.8
Teleop108.9
End12.7
Third
3303
#65
111.72.4
117.6→115.2
Auto13.6
Teleop87.8
End8.4
blue by 1.0
4171
#45
112.72.7
105.7→108.5
Auto15.0
Teleop87.1
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed