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Qual 762018 Sacramento Regional
Red289
100127.5
4698128.7
3880139.2
Blue381
1072146.7
6619111.7
1323185.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277353100200400500600289381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3880
#59
139.21.8
133.9→135.7
Auto15.4
Teleop104.7
End19.4
blue by 45.9
1323
#2
185.28.7
162.1→170.8
Auto26.2
Teleop128.3
End30.9
Second
4698
#31
128.74.6
121.5→126.1
Auto13.7
Teleop97.8
End17.8
blue by 18.0
1072
#4
146.75.0
134.0→138.9
Auto20.0
Teleop111.9
End14.5
Third
100
#60
127.50.5
126.7→127.2
Auto15.4
Teleop95.5
End15.2
red by 15.8
6619
#33
111.70.7
111.8→111.0
Auto13.4
Teleop89.0
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed