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Qual 772018 Sacramento Regional
Red309
2035125.5
5250102.1
6918118.6
Blue142
852131.8
6039116.8
4643130.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2583100100200400500600309142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2035
#17
125.50.5
126.0→125.5
Auto16.8
Teleop96.2
End10.9
blue by 6.3
852
#50
131.82.9
134.7→131.8
Auto14.2
Teleop99.3
End13.6
Second
6918
#38
118.61.7
115.2→116.8
Auto16.0
Teleop94.3
End5.9
blue by 11.4
4643
#32
130.02.4
127.6→130.0
Auto16.7
Teleop95.6
End15.3
Third
5250
#57
102.10.2
101.3→101.4
Auto13.7
Teleop82.3
End4.4
blue by 14.7
6039
#51
116.81.0
115.8→116.8
Auto15.5
Teleop87.0
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed