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Red256
2144155.3
5496142.3
3598128.1
Blue249
6474166.0
3189104.6
7057102.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions360253100200300400500600256249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2144
#25
155.35.2
148.0153.2
Auto19.4
Teleop111.8
End25.3
blue by 10.7
6474
#18
166.02.7
158.8161.5
Auto19.1
Teleop126.0
End21.1
Second
142.32.7
139.4142.0
Auto15.3
Teleop108.3
End17.7
red by 37.6
3189
#63
104.60.7
103.9104.6
Auto13.0
Teleop83.1
End8.6
Third
3598
#21
128.11.7
126.4128.1
Auto16.8
Teleop100.5
End5.9
red by 25.8
7057
#49
102.20.3
102.5102.2
Auto13.7
Teleop83.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed