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Qual 802018 Sacramento Regional
Red361
5728113.0
383144.5
3250145.4
Blue236
6612107.8
3303111.7
1671147.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319263150200300350400450500361236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#3
145.41.8
139.1→140.9
Auto20.6
Teleop106.2
End21.6
blue by 2.4
1671
#13
147.83.0
139.3→142.3
Auto18.2
Teleop110.3
End22.1
Second
383
#8
144.50.9
142.6→143.4
Auto18.4
Teleop111.2
End12.9
red by 32.8
3303
#65
111.73.4
115.2→111.7
Auto13.6
Teleop87.8
End8.4
Third
5728
#15
113.02.0
111.0→113.0
Auto15.2
Teleop87.1
End14.3
red by 5.2
6612
#29
107.81.3
106.6→107.8
Auto18.4
Teleop83.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed